Ten Billion: Implications of Future Population Changes for China and the World

By Prof Jack A. Goldstone

Elman Family Professor of Public Policy; Director, Institute for Public Policy

Date:	18 Feb 2016

Time:	12:30 pm - 2 pm (Lunch included)

Venue:	HKUST Business School Central 15/F, Hong Kong Club Building 3A Chater Road, Central, Hong Kong

Remarks:	Registration starts one month before the talk.

Enquires:	Miss Fanny Yue 2358 5019

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By 2050, in just 35 years, our world will be completely different. China will be grappling with the consequences of half a century of workforce decline. Europe will be much older, far less white and less Christian. Developing countries will be mainly urban, rather than rural. Africa will have grown enormously -- Nigeria alone will have twice as many people as Western Europe -- and the continent as a whole will have a population almost as large as that of India and China combined. These changes will pose enormous challenges in regard to migration, economic growth and stable governance. Rising to these challenges will require new forms of international and intergovernmental cooperation, and innovative policies based on embracing this new world. The speaker will share his insights on what these innovative policies could be.

Prof Jack A. Goldstone
Elman Family Professor of Public Policy; Director, Institute for Public Policy

Jack A. Goldstone (PhD, Harvard University) is the Elman Family Professor of Public Policy at HKUST, and a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center. He has won major prizes from the American Sociological Association, International Studies Association and Historical Society for his research on long-term patterns of social change. He has also been awarded fellowships by the J.S. Guggenheim Foundation, the MacArthur Foundation, and the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences. Goldstone’s current research focuses on the impact of population change on the global economy and international security, and the cultural origins of modern economic growth. He has authored or edited 10 books and published over 100 articles in books and scholarly journals. His recent essay in Foreign Affairs – “The New Population Bomb: The Four Megatrends that will Change the World” – has been widely cited as a critical guide to the impact of future population change. His latest books include Why Europe? The Rise of the West 1500-1850 (McGraw-Hill, 2008; Chinese translation 2010), Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford 2012) and Revolutions: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford 2014).